NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500 |

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 quick 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races in this track and is the 9-4 favorite to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix odds after a strong start to his season that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you look at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into account.

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it’s off to a powerful start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like ISM Raceway are in his bloodstream. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you that the model is high on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot 25-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a goal for anybody searching for a massive payday.

Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win last year and went on to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to a 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He’ll also come armed into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar car setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

One of those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix chooses from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway and the very best Vegas favourite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway